Stocks Fall, Oil Again Tops $100 Amid Sanctions
U.S. stock indexes fell and bond yields slipped while oil prices rose to multiyear highs, as Russia’s invasion of Ukraine continued to whipsaw through markets.
The S&P 500 fell 1.4% Tuesday afternoon. The blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 1.8%, while the technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite was down 1.2%. Energy was the only sector in the S&P 500 to advance.
The war in Ukraine has further soured investors’ sentiment on markets. Though only 1% of S&P 500 companies’ revenue stems from Russia and Ukraine, according to FactSet, investors are still worried about ripple effects on the global economy. The geopolitical crisis came when market sentiment already was fragile. Economies are facing the highest inflation in decades, heaping pressure on central banks to raise interest rates.
“Now we have this shock, and this shock feeds into the biggest risk—sustained high inflation,” said
Jon Maier,
chief investment officer at Global X ETFs.
Oil prices rallied, rising back above $100 a barrel, to their highest level since 2014. Brent crude, the international oil benchmark, climbed over 8% to $105.88 a barrel. Benchmark European natural-gas prices jumped over 24%. Members of the International Energy Agency agreed Tuesday to release supplies from oil reserves in an effort to keep a lid on rising crude prices.
Energy companies’ stocks gained alongside oil prices, with
rising 5.7% and
adding 3.3%. Refiners balked at buying Russian oil, while banks are refusing to finance shipments of Russian commodities, according to oil executives, bankers and traders. Russia is the single biggest gas exporter and a major supplier of crude oil.
Safe-harbor assets were in demand, lifting gold prices and driving down government bond yields. Gold prices rose 1.9%. The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note fell to 1.726% Tuesday from 1.836% Monday, with investors betting that the Federal Reserve won’t act as aggressively to curb inflation. The yield on German government bonds fell into negative territory for the first time since January. Yields fall as bond prices rise.
Stock indexes around the world have been volatile in recent days as investors attempt to gauge the potential global economic impact from the invasion and resulting sanctions. Constricted supplies of Russian commodities could add to already elevated inflation, but investors hope the overall effect on the world’s biggest economies will be muted.
“We’re in a situation that I don’t believe there is an actual playbook for,” said
Eric Merlis,
managing director of corporate risk solutions at Citizens.
Bitcoin recently traded above $43,602, up some 4.7% from its 5 p.m. level on Monday, according to CoinDesk.
In corporate news,
Target’s
shares jumped 11% after it reported strong sales during the holiday period.
rose 8.8% after the supermarket chain said it had begun a strategic review.
gained 7.2% after reporting earnings late Monday that beat estimates.
gained 0.5% after the retailer posted better-than-expected earnings.
“The question from here: Is the economy able to continue to push forwards through these segments and avoid contractions?” said
Matt Stucky,
senior portfolio manager at Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management Company.
Elsewhere in commodities, wheat prices were at their highest levels since 2008.
Cease-fire talks have failed to produce concrete results so far. Russia and Ukraine have agreed to further talks, and investors have welcomed the fact that they have taken place. Still, Moscow is pouring manpower and equipment into the country and Russian forces have adopted a strategy of pummeling civilian areas, a bid to demoralize resistance.
“I am not sure what we will see from negotiations, but on the ground there will be no let up because [Russian President Vladimir] Putin has to come away from this war with something to show for it,” said
Hani Redha,
a portfolio manager at PineBridge Investments.
Traders at the New York Stock Exchange on Monday.
Photo:
Allie Joseph/Nyse/Zuma Press
Russian markets have been dealt a heavy blow by the invasion and the ensuing sanctions, with investors jettisoning Russian stocks. A sharp, sudden interest-rate rise from the nation’s central bank helped send the ruble tumbling.
Stocks tied to Russia’s economy were hit hardest, with Austria’s
which has big operations in Ukraine and Russia, down 10%.
a London-listed firm with gold mines in Russia, was down 26%. Arms makers were among the best performers.
On Tuesday, the Russian ruble fell 6.3% against the dollar, after falling almost 30% Monday. Market-data services have shown limited price updates this week, suggesting few transactions are taking place. The Russian stock market remained closed after plummeting last week.
, a top bond-trading platform, removed Russian securities Tuesday, citing Western sanctions.
In Europe, the pan-continental Stoxx Europe 600 fell 2.4%. The
suspended trading in shares of Russia’s
after the exchange said
had resigned as the depositary for the company.
also halted trading of two funds because of the crisis in Ukraine.
In Asia Pacific, stock markets were mixed. Japan’s Nikkei 225 rose 1.2%, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index edged up 0.2%.
Write to Will Horner at william.horner@wsj.com and Hardika Singh at hardika.singh@wsj.com
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