Indian rupee consolidates biggest daily jump in a year around 73.50

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  • USD/INR portrays a corrective pullback near 11 week lows.
  • 200-DMA guards immediate upside, bearish MACD, Friday’s break of the key supports favor sellers.
  • 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level lures short-term bears.

USD/INR licks its wounds around 73.52, up 0.05% intraday, after marking the heaviest slump since August 2020. That said, the Indian rupee (INR) pair refreshed multi-day low during Monday’s Asian session before bouncing off 73.42.

However, 200-DMA restricts the pair’s rebound amid bearish MACD. Also favoring the USD/INR sellers is the sustained downside break of 100-DMA and 10-week-old horizontal support, portrayed on Friday.

Hence, USD/INR bears remain directed towards the south but a short-term recovery can’t be ruled should the pair rise past the 200-DMA level of 73.62.

Following that, 100-DMA and the aforementioned support-turned-resistance, respectively around 74.00 and 74.10, could challenge the pair buyers ahead of a downward sloping resistance line from July 20 around 74.35.

Meanwhile, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of May–July upside, near 73.35, can entertain intraday sellers during the pair’s further weakness before highlighting the 73.00 round figure.

Should USD/INR bears remain dominant past 73.00, odds of witnessing May’s bottom surrounding 72.33 back to the chart can’t be ruled out.

USD/INR: Daily chart

Trend: Further downside expected

 

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